The potential of Deadpool 3
As of my knowledge update date (July 2024), Deadpool 3 has not yet been released, so there is no opening weekend box office data. However, based on the box office performance of the first two Deadpool movies and the popularity of the Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU), the following points can be inferred:
Previous performance
Deadpool (2016) earned $783 million in global box office with a cost of $58 million, and $132 million in the first weekend (North America), setting a record for the opening of an R-rated movie.
Deadpool 2 (2018) earned $786 million in global box office and $125 million in the first weekend (North America).
The potential of Deadpool 3
As the first R-rated movie in the MCU, and with Ryan Reynolds returning to star and "Wolverine" Hugh Jackman joining, the film is extremely popular.
If word of mouth is good, the first weekend box office may exceed 150 million to 200 million US dollars (North America), and even challenge the global record of 1.07 billion US dollars for R-rated movies in "Joker" (2019).
Influencing factors
Release time, competing films at the same time (such as other summer blockbusters) and market environment (such as streaming media diversion) may affect the box office.
MCU linkage effect (such as multiverse setting) may attract a wider audience.
It is recommended to check authoritative box office statistics websites (such as Box Office Mojo) to obtain real-time data after the film is released. If "Deadpool 3" does break the record in the future, it is likely to be reported around keywords such as "R-rated movie" and "Marvel's highest opening".
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